Actual result
D+29.6
Final polls said
D+23.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
D+22.8
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maine People's Resource Center | D+28.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+33.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor | D+22.8 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Digital Research | D+19.0 | 10.6 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine People's Resource Center | 2012-11-02 | 469 | D+28.0 | 2 |
| Digital Research | 2012-10-30 | 288 | D+19.0 | 11 |
| Pan Atlantic Research | 2012-09-26 | 198 | D+33.0 | 3 |
| Maine People's Resource Center | 2012-09-16 | 444 | D+28.0 | 2 |
| Digital Research | 2012-09-14 | 292 | D+31.0 | 1 |