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Toss-up · 2016 House
New Jersey House
In the 2016 New Jersey House race, Josh Gottheimer (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.4
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+6.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+7.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-10-102
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2016-10-013
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New Jersey House race?
Josh Gottheimer (D) won, by about 4.4 points (D+4.4).
When was the 2016 New Jersey House election held?
It was held in November 2016.