New Jersey 2026 elections

Everything on New Jersey's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate race, 3 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 12 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.

Statewide races

New Jersey Senate

Cory Booker vs Justin Murphy · fundamentals forecast, no polls yet

Safe D

98%

Competitive House districts (3)

District forecasts are fundamentals-based — presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment — with district polling blended in where it exists. Click one to see why.

NJ-7

Rebecca Bennett (D) vs Thomas Kean Jr. (R) · pres lean R+1.0

Lean D

70% · D+3.3

A fundamentals forecast blended with 1 district poll. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+1.0, held by Thomas Kean Jr. (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+0.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is D+3.3 — a 70% Democratic win. Full race details →

NJ-9

Nellie Pou (D) vs Rosie Pino (R) · pres lean R+1.0

Lean D

83% · D+5.2

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+1.0, held by Nellie Pou (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+2.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+5.2 — a 83% Democratic win. Full race details →

NJ-2

Zack Mullock (D) vs Jeff Van Drew (R) · pres lean R+13.0

Likely R

88% · R+6.8

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+13.0, held by Jeff Van Drew (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+9.8; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+6.8 — a 88% Republican win. Full race details →