New Jersey 2026 elections
Everything on New Jersey's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: no statewide race is on the 2026 ballot, but here are 3 competitive U.S. House districts, and its 2 senators and 12 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Competitive House districts (3)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
NJ-9Nellie Pou (D) · incumbent · pres lean D+4.0Toss-up63% · D+2.2
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+4.0, held by Nellie Pou (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+2.7; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+2.2 — a 63% Democratic win.
NJ-2Jeff Van Drew (R) · incumbent · pres lean R+11.0Lean R67% · R+3.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.0, held by Jeff Van Drew (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.0 — a 67% Republican win.
NJ-7Thomas H. Kean Jr. (R) · incumbent · pres lean D+0.2Likely R86% · R+7.5
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+0.2, held by Thomas H. Kean Jr. (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+12.4; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+7.5 — a 86% Republican win.