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Toss-up · 2016 House
Pennsylvania House
In the 2016 Pennsylvania House race, Lloyd K. Smucker (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+10.9
Final polls said
R+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GBAO | R+3.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
GBAO2016-10-168
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Pennsylvania House race?
Lloyd K. Smucker (R) won, by about 10.9 points (R+10.9).
When was the 2016 Pennsylvania House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.