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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Alabama Governor
In the 2018 Alabama Governor race, Kay Ivey (R) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
R+19.1
Final polls said
R+22.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research Consultants | R+20.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | R+25.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Consultants2018-09-221
SurveyMonkey2018-09-176
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Alabama Governor race?
Kay Ivey (R) won, by about 19.1 points (R+19.1).
When was the 2018 Alabama Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.