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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Alabama Governor
In the 2018 Alabama Governor race, Kay Ivey (R) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
R+19.1
Final polls said
R+22.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research Consultants | R+20.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | R+25.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Consultants2018-09-221
SurveyMonkey2018-09-176
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Alabama Governor race?
Kay Ivey (R) won, by about 19.1 points (R+19.1).
When was the 2018 Alabama Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.