Toss-up · 2020 President

Colorado President

In the 2020 Colorado President race, Joe Biden (D) won by about 14 points.

Actual result

D+13.5

Final polls said

D+13.1

6 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Morning Consult	D+12.9	0.6	✓
2	Swayable	D+14.7	1.2	✓
3	Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson	D+12.0	1.5	✓
4	Data for Progress	D+12.0	1.5	✓
5	Civiqs	D+12.0	1.5	✓
6	SurveyMonkey	D+11.0	2.5	✓
7	RBI Strategies & Research	D+17.0	3.5	✓
8	SurveyUSA	D+10.0	3.5	✓
9	YouGov	D+9.0	4.5	✓
10	RMG Research	D+8.0	5.5	✓
11	OnMessage Inc.	D+7.9	5.6	✓

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	CNalysis	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
2	The Economist	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
3	Elections Daily	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
4	Inside Elections	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
5	JHK Forecasts	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
6	Princeton Election Consortium	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
7	Race to the WH	Dem 100%	0.000	✓
8	VotePredictor Elections	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
9	FiveThirtyEight	Dem 97%	0.001	✓
10	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Dem 93%	0.005	✓
11	Cook Political	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
12	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
13	RealClearPolitics	Dem 75%	0.062	✓