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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Colorado Governor
In the 2022 Colorado Governor race, Jared Polis (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+19.4
Final polls said
D+11.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+18.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | D+18.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Keating Research/Magellan Strategies | D+17.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Civiqs | D+15.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Emerson College | D+13.4 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | co/efficient | D+12.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Data for Progress | D+12.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Trafalgar Group | D+7.1 | 12.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
co/efficient2022-11-057
Data for Progress2022-11-047
Trafalgar Group2022-10-3112
Emerson College2022-10-286
Trafalgar Group2022-10-2612
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Colorado Governor race?
Jared Polis (D) won, by about 19.4 points (D+19.4).
When was the 2022 Colorado Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.