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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Colorado Governor
In the 2022 Colorado Governor race, Jared Polis (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+19.4
Final polls said
D+11.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+18.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | D+18.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Keating Research/Magellan Strategies | D+17.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Civiqs | D+15.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Emerson College | D+13.4 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | co/efficient | D+12.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Data for Progress | D+12.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Trafalgar Group | D+7.1 | 12.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 98% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
co/efficient2022-11-057
Data for Progress2022-11-047
Trafalgar Group2022-10-3112
Emerson College2022-10-286
Trafalgar Group2022-10-2612
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Colorado Governor race?
Jared Polis (D) won, by about 19.4 points (D+19.4).
When was the 2022 Colorado Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.