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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Kansas Governor
In the 2022 Kansas Governor race, Laura Kelly (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.2
Final polls said
D+4.6
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+4.6 | 2.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 77% | 0.052 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-282
Emerson College2022-09-171
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Kansas Governor race?
Laura Kelly (D) won, by about 2.2 points (D+2.2).
When was the 2022 Kansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.