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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Kansas Governor
In the 2022 Kansas Governor race, Laura Kelly (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.2
Final polls said
D+4.6
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+4.6 | 2.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 77% | 0.052 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 69% | 0.094 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-282
Emerson College2022-09-171
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Kansas Governor race?
Laura Kelly (D) won, by about 2.2 points (D+2.2).
When was the 2022 Kansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.