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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Kansas Governor
In the 2018 Kansas Governor race, Laura Kelly (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+5.1
Final polls said
D+0.2
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Hays State University Docking Institute of Public Affairs | D+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Civiqs | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Remington Research Group | D+1.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Emerson College | R+1.3 | 6.4 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 57% | 0.327 | ✗ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 64% | 0.407 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-10-276
Ipsos2018-10-223
Public Policy Polling2018-10-195
Remington Research Group2018-09-304
Emerson College2018-09-276
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Kansas Governor race?
Laura Kelly (D) won, by about 5.1 points (D+5.1).
When was the 2018 Kansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.