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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Kansas Governor
In the 2018 Kansas Governor race, Laura Kelly (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+5.1
Final polls said
D+0.2
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Hays State University Docking Institute of Public Affairs | D+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Civiqs | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Remington Research Group | D+1.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Emerson College | R+1.3 | 6.4 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 57% | 0.327 | ✗ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 61% | 0.373 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-10-276
Ipsos2018-10-223
Public Policy Polling2018-10-195
Remington Research Group2018-09-304
Emerson College2018-09-276
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Kansas Governor race?
Laura Kelly (D) won, by about 5.1 points (D+5.1).
When was the 2018 Kansas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.