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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
South Dakota Governor
In the 2022 South Dakota Governor race, Kristi Noem (R) won by about 27 points.
Actual result
R+26.8
Final polls said
R+18.9
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+18.9 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | South Dakota State University School of American and Global Studies | R+4.0 | 22.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-208
South Dakota State University School of American and Global Studies2022-10-0423
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 South Dakota Governor race?
Kristi Noem (R) won, by about 26.8 points (R+26.8).
When was the 2022 South Dakota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.