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Toss-up · 2022 House
South Dakota House
In the 2022 South Dakota House race, Dusty Johnson (R) won with 77.4% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+54.8.
Actual result
D+54.8
Final polls said
D+43.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+43.0 | 11.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2022-10-2012
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 South Dakota House race?
Dusty Johnson (R) won, with 77.4% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+54.8, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2022 South Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2022.