Toss-up · 2022 Senate

Colorado Senate

In the 2022 Colorado Senate race, Michael Bennet (D) won by about 15 points.

Actual result

D+14.6

Final polls said

D+9.6

7 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	YouGov	D+14.0	0.6	✓
2	Civiqs	D+13.0	1.6	✓
3	Global Strategy Group	D+11.0	3.6	✓
4	Keating Research/Magellan Strategies	D+10.0	4.6	✓
5	Emerson College	D+8.1	6.5	✓
6	co/efficient	D+8.0	6.6	✓
7	Data for Progress	D+7.0	7.6	✓
8	Marist College	D+7.0	7.6	✓
9	Trafalgar Group	D+1.5	13.1	✓
10	OnMessage Inc.	D+1.0	13.6	✓

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	The Economist	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
2	Race to the WH	Dem 99%	0.000	✓
3	JHK Forecasts	Dem 92%	0.006	✓
4	FiveThirtyEight	Dem 91%	0.008	✓
5	VotePredictor Elections	Dem 90%	0.009	✓
6	CNalysis	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
7	Elections Daily	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
8	Inside Elections	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
9	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
10	Split Ticket	Dem 90%	0.010	✓
11	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Dem 81%	0.037	✓
12	Cook Political	Dem 75%	0.062	✓
13	Fox News	Dem 75%	0.062	✓
14	RealClearPolitics	Dem 50%	0.250	—