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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Janice Hahn (D) won with 60.2% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+20.4.
Actual result
D+20.4
Final polls said
D+13.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | D+16.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
FM3 Research2012-09-284
SurveyUSA2012-09-2110
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Janice Hahn (D) won, with 60.2% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+20.4, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.