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Toss-up · 2010 House
California House
In the 2010 California House race, Ken Calvert (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.2
Final polls said
R+8.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | R+11.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zata3 | R+5.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zata32010-10-126
Public Policy Polling2010-09-250
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 California House race?
Ken Calvert (R) won, by about 11.2 points (R+11.2).
When was the 2010 California House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.