Actual result
R+11.2
Final polls said
R+8.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+6.2
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | R+11.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+6.2 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zata3 | R+5.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zata3 | 2010-10-12 | 611 | R+5.0 | 6 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2010-09-25 | 760 | R+11.0 | 0 |