Democratic
Darren Soto
Incumbent representative for FL-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Darren Soto favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+9.8
92%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+7.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed republican candidates: Ben Butler, Marcus Carter, Thomas Chalifoux, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, Steve Rance, Justin Story.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-9. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
13 Dems Help House GOP Pass Stock Trading Ban That Includes Trump Attack on Voters
The US House of Representatives on Wednesday held a series of key votes, including one in which over a dozen Democrats helped Republicans pass a purported congressional stock trading ban, even though the GOP tacked on a voter suppression provision demanded by…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
DeSantis Signs Gerrymandered Florida Map to Flip Seats for Republicans
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis made his state’s new gerrymandered congressional map official Monday. DeSantis signed the map that his own office specifically drew in order to capture four more Republican seats in time for November’s midterm elections, hoping t…
The New Republic · May 4, 2026
WSJ warns red state gambit could cost GOP dearly: 'How confident are Republicans?'
The conservative Wall Street Journal editorial board has a warning for Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis: if you move forward with re-gerrymandering your state, it might not turn out the way you're hoping.This comes as the architect of DeSantis' new congressional map…
Raw Story · April 29, 2026
DeSantis Unveils New, Almost Entirely Red Florida Map
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis released his new proposed congressional map Monday that aims to grab four more Republican seats in the House of Representatives. DeSantis told Fox News Digital that “Florida got shortchanged in the 2020 Census, and we’ve been fig…
The New Republic · April 27, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗