Democratic
Darren Soto
Incumbent representative for FL-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Florida District 9 election, 2026
Darren Soto vs. Dan Green on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Dan Green favored
Toss-up · predicted margin R+1.0
56%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+17.92026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Dan Green
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-9. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Florida's 9th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel
On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
Who Are the Democrats Who Joined Republicans to Condemn Socialism?
Eight Democrats defied their party and voted with Republicans to condemn socialism. Their names – and the politics behind their votes – stand out. The House passed the Republican-led resolution 220-192, with Republicans joined by eight Democrats. Two addit…
The Root · September 2, 2026
13 Dems Help House GOP Pass Stock Trading Ban That Includes Trump Attack on Voters
The US House of Representatives on Wednesday held a series of key votes, including one in which over a dozen Democrats helped Republicans pass a purported congressional stock trading ban, even though the GOP tacked on a voter suppression provision demanded by…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗