Florida District 8 election, 2026

Jennifer Jenkins vs. Mike Haridopolos on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast

Mike Haridopolos favored

Safe R · predicted margin R+16.1

99%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+16.4

2026 national environment

D+6.3

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Jennifer Jenkins

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Mike Haridopolos

Incumbent representative for FL-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-8. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Florida's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

2010Daniel Webster(R)R+17.9

2008Alan Grayson(D)D+4.0

2006Richard Keller(R)R+7.1

2002Richard Keller(R)R+30.3

2000Richard Keller(R)R+1.6

Candidate news

Jenkins: If lawmakers keep their stocks, is it really a ban?

Congressman Mike Haridopolos recently praised the House for passing what he calls a ban on congressional stock trading. I agree with the principle. Members of Congress should not be trading individual stocks while they are making laws, receiving sensitive bri…

Biztoc.com · August 21, 2026

Cory Mills’ Downfall Came From Inside the House

“As allegations of sexual misconduct, questions about his military record and campaign finance violations surrounded Florida Republican Rep. Cory Mills, House Republican leadership, the White House and the majority of the GOP conference publicly stayed behind…

Politicalwire.com · August 19, 2026

Embattled GOP Rep Doesn’t Deny Dating Teenager While In Congress

It’s not looking good for the disgraced MAGA Representative Cory Mills.Governor Ron DeSantis told reporters Friday that he didn’t support Mills’ bid ahead of the state’s primary elections on Tuesday. Earlier this month, Florida Representatives Anna Paulina Lu…

The New Republic · August 17, 2026

2 Florida Republicans endorse Mills opponent in primary

TALLAHASSEE, Florida — Two Florida Republican House members — Reps. Anna Paulina Luna and Mike Haridopolos — shook up the state’s 7th District GOP primary Wednesday by endorsing Ryan Elijah over the embattled and Trump-endorsed incumbent, Rep. Cory Mills. Th…

Biztoc.com · August 5, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-7 · FL-9