Democratic
Julie Fortier
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Illinois District 12 election, 2026
Julie Fortier vs. Mike Bost. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Mike Bost favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+35.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+43.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Mike Bost
Incumbent representative for IL-12. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-12. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Mike BostREP · incumbent$1.6M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $845k3% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$79k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$28k
- Transportation & Logistics$24k
- Legal & Professional Services$20k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$14k
States
- IL$340k
- FL$39k
- DC$29k
- VA$17k
- CT$17k
Julie FortierDEM$162k raised
Spent $128kCash on hand $34k45% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$31k
- Retired$20k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$5k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$3k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$1k
States
- IL$66k
- MO$2k
- WA$250
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Illinois's 12th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Vulnerable Republican scrambles away from his push to scrap veterans' loan rescue
A vulnerable Republican congressman is scrambling away from questions about his role in ending a program meant to keep veterans from losing their homes.Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-WI), who is locked in a tight re-election race against Democrat Rebecca Cooke, le…
Raw Story · October 30, 2026
Mike Bost gets funding to improve big-truck rest areas in Southern Illinois
U.S. Rep. Mike Bost, a Murphysboro Republican, said U.S. Department of Transportation has freed up more than $13 million to upgrade facilities in the region
STLtoday.com · July 20, 2026
VA Benefits Bill: Republicans Demand Investigation of Major Veterans Group
Two Republican lawmakers are calling for a federal investigation into the Veterans of Foreign Wars (VFW) amid an increasingly bitter fight over one of the largest veterans' benefits packages Congress has considered in years. House Veterans' Affairs Committee …
Biztoc.com · July 14, 2026
PM Netanyahu meets with AIPAC congressional delegation
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met on Thursday with a bipartisan delegation of US Congress members organized by AIPAC at the Prime Minister's Office in Jerusalem.The Prime Minister thanked the delegation members for their consistent support for the State o…
Israelnationalnews.com · January 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗