Nikki Budzinski
Incumbent representative for IL-13. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Nikki Budzinski vs. Jeff Wilson. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Incumbent representative for IL-13. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Major-party general-election nominee.
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-13; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Every election in Illinois's 13th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

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Crypto just suffered its first major electoral setback of the 2026 cycle in deep‑blue Illinois, where Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton beat pro‑crypto Representative Raja Krishnamoorthi in the Democratic Senate primary, NBC News reports. Related Reading: …

Nikki Budzinski wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Illinois' 13th Congressional District
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗