Democratic
Bill Foster
Incumbent representative for IL-11. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Illinois District 11 election, 2026
Bill Foster vs. Jeff Walter. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Bill Foster favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+19.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+11.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Jeff Walter
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-11. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Bill FosterDEM · incumbent$2.6M raised
Spent $1.5MCash on hand $2.6MDebts $1.0M6% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$592k
- Education & Academia$159k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$96k
- Legal & Professional Services$72k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$54k
States
- IL$582k
- CA$220k
- NY$127k
- MA$121k
- MD$36k
Jeff WalterREP$431k raised
Spent $424kCash on hand $8kDebts $198k24% from donors under $200Self-funded $201k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$80k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$7k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$2k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$950
- Energy, Utilities & Mining$758
States
- IL$69k
- MI$14k
- TX$6k
- OH$5k
- CA$5k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Illinois's 11th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Bill Foster cools on challenging Maxine Waters
Rep. Bill Foster is leaning against challenging Rep. Maxine Waters for the top Democratic spot on the House Financial Services Committee, according to two people with knowledge of his thinking who were granted anonymity to discuss private deliberations. The I…
Biztoc.com · October 29, 2026
The Battle Lines Are Forming for the Democrats’ Next Big Fight
If Democrats win back the House of Representatives and the Senate this election, which looks increasingly likely, they have an important and contentious question to face right away: How hard should they go after corporations?Voters are increasingly angry abou…
The New Republic · October 14, 2026
WH Council of Economic Advisers Chair Christopher Phelan, Presidential adviser Peter Navarro, FERC Chair Laura Swett, Sens. Rounds and Gallego, Southern Company CEO Chris Womack, Reps. Adrian Smith, Beth Van Duyne, April Delaney, Bill Foster, and Janelle Bynum, ExIm's John Jovanovic and more to headline American Growth Summit tomorrow, Tuesday, September 29 in Washington, D.C.
WASHINGTON, Sept. 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- A powerhouse lineup of leaders from the administration, US Congress, and American business and civil society will speak at a day-long convening on the evolving topography of America's economic interests hosted by Wid…
PRNewswire · September 28, 2026
Student Loan Forgiveness Would Get Easier, Quicker for Many Under New Bill
A newly introduced bipartisan bill in Congress would make it significantly easier for many teachers, nurses and first responders to qualify for federal student loan forgiveness. The Public Service Loan Forgiveness Inclusion Act of 2026 was introduced in the H…
Biztoc.com · September 11, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗