Democratic
Sean Casten
Incumbent representative for IL-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Sean Casten favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+18.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+6.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Niki Conforti
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-6. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
The Coming Census Time Bomb
In late April, Virginia voters narrowly approved an aggressive gerrymander that would have given Democrats a largely unbeatable advantage in 10 of the commonwealth’s 11 U.S. House seats, counteracting GOP power plays in Ohio, Missouri, and North Carolina. Dem…
The New Republic · June 30, 2026
Is the USA Backing Away Further From the Protection of Palestinian Rights?
Two members of the US Congress—Rep. Rosa Delauro and Rep. Sean Casten—have been in the forefront of drawing attention to the violations of rights of the people of West Bank. At a time of a visit to West … The post Is the USA Backing Away Further From the Prot…
Globalresearch.ca · May 30, 2026
Sean Casten wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Illinois' 6th Congressional District
Sean Casten wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Illinois' 6th Congressional District
Abcnews.com · March 18, 2026
Trump’s Treasury Secretary Caught in Blatant Lie to Congress
Democratic Representative Maxine Waters caught Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in a clear and obvious lie during a congressional hearing. “Did you write a letter to investors raising concerns about the impact of tariffs, writing that ‘tariffs are inflationar…
The New Republic · February 4, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗