VotePredictor
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Illinois District 6 election, 2026

Sean Casten vs. Niki Conforti.

VotePredictor forecast
Sean Casten favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+20.1
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+6.5
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Niki Conforti

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-6. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Illinois's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: IL-5 · IL-7