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Toss-up · 2008 House
Kentucky House
In the 2008 Kentucky House race, S. Brett Guthrie (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.2
Final polls said
R+4.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+10.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+6.0 | 11.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2008-10-265
Benenson Strategy Group2008-10-2011
SurveyUSA2008-10-164
SurveyUSA2008-09-241
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Kentucky House race?
S. Brett Guthrie (R) won, by about 5.2 points (R+5.2).
When was the 2008 Kentucky House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.