Democratic
Melissa Strange
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Ed Gallrein favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+30.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+35.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Ed Gallrein
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Mohammad Wael Ahmad · Kentucky Party
- Jeremy Todd · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for KY-4. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for KY-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗