Actual result
R+24.9
Final polls said
R+16.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+12.8
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JMC Analytics | R+26.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+12.8 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Glascock Group | R+6.0 | 18.9 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glascock Group | 2014-12-02 | 532 | R+6.0 | 19 |
| JMC Analytics | 2014-11-17 | 793 | R+26.0 | 1 |