Democratic
Hillary Scholten
Incumbent representative for MI-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Michigan District 3 election, 2026
Hillary Scholten vs. Terri DeBoer. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Hillary Scholten favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+18.6
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+8.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Terri DeBoer
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Joe Jock · Green
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Hillary ScholtenDEM · incumbent$3.0M raised
Spent $1.9MCash on hand $1.5MDebts $93k7% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$853k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$118k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$111k
- Legal & Professional Services$107k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$59k
States
- MI$1.1M
- CA$161k
- NY$106k
- IL$96k
- MA$81k
Terri DeBoerREP$865k raised
Spent $795kCash on hand $70kDebts $42k2% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$216k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$148k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$122k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$44k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$18k
States
- MI$681k
- IN$10k
- FL$6k
- TX$6k
- OH$3k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Michigan's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
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Eschatonblog.com · October 29, 2026
Democrats Have an Islamophobia Problem Too
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The New Republic · October 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗