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Toss-up · 2012 House
Michigan House
In the 2012 Michigan House race, Justin Amash (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.4
Final polls said
R+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GQR | R+4.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+14.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Glengariff Group | D+1.0 | 9.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-206
Glengariff Group2012-10-179
GQR2012-10-084
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Michigan House race?
Justin Amash (R) won, by about 8.4 points (R+8.4).
When was the 2012 Michigan House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.