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Toss-up · 2012 House
Michigan House
In the 2012 Michigan House race, Justin Amash (R) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
R+8.4
Final polls said
R+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GQR | R+4.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+14.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Glengariff Group | D+1.0 | 9.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2012-10-206
Glengariff Group2012-10-179
GQR2012-10-084
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Michigan House race?
Justin Amash (R) won, by about 8.4 points (R+8.4).
When was the 2012 Michigan House election held?
It was held in November 2012.