Democratic
William Lawrence
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Barrett favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+6.1
81%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+0.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Tom Barrett
Incumbent representative for MI-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Shane Dedrick · Green
- Felix Thibodeau · Working Class
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-7. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
MAGA accused of election meddling as 'random internet stranger' gets onto state ballot
The Bulwark investigated a "random internet stranger" fielded as a third-party candidate in a swing House seat in Michigan, and what they found was deeply suspicious.The seat is currently occupied by GOP Rep. Tom Barrett, and to challenge him, Democrats have …
Raw Story · August 6, 2026
‘Organized People Can Beat Organized Money’: Lawrence Wins House Primary After Harnessing Opposition to Data Centers
Dr. Abdul El-Sayed was not the only Michigan progressive to take down a well-funded establishment opponent in a Democratic primary on Tuesday night.In central Michigan’s 7th congressional district, Democratic voters picked William Lawrence, a co-founder of th…
Common Dreams · August 5, 2026
William Lawrence wins Michigan Democratic primary, setting up high-stakes battle for key swing House seat
William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's seventh congressional district. He defeated two moderate rivals in a closely watched primary contest. Lawrence will now challenge Republican Representative Tom Barrett in November. This race is…
The Times of India · August 5, 2026
Four Republicans Join All Democrats to Try to Rein in Trump’s War
Four Republicans joined every Democrat in the House of Representatives Thursday to pass a war powers resolution to rein in President Trump on the Iran war. The resolution passed 214–208, with Republican Representatives Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Brian Fitzpat…
The New Republic · July 23, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗