VotePredictor
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Michigan District 9 election, 2026

Ray Pooley vs. Lisa McClain.

VotePredictor forecast
Lisa McClain favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+37.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+31.2
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Ray Pooley

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Destiny Clayton · Green
  • Kevin Vayko · Libertarian
  • John Vlahos · U.S. Taxpayers
  • Jim Walkowicz · Working Class

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-9. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Michigan's 9th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MI-8 · MN-1