VotePredictor
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Michigan District 9 election, 2026

Ray Pooley vs. Lisa McClain.

VotePredictor forecast
Lisa McClain favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+23.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+31.2
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Ray Pooley

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Destiny Clayton · Green
  • Kevin Vayko · Libertarian
  • John Vlahos · U.S. Taxpayers
  • Jim Walkowicz · Working Class

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-9. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

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The recent entry of Elon Musk's SpaceX (SPCX) into public markets has garnered investment interest on Capitol Hill, with half a dozen lawmakers taking stakes in the company, according to recently disclosed transactions. The first apparent purchase came from R…

Biztoc.com · July 28, 2026
'They're Trying to Scare People': AOC Dismisses Latest GOP Warnings of 'Communism'

Republican fearmongering that communism is on its way to the United States is a perennial feature of US political discourse—despite the fact that their warnings proved wrong in the 1930s when President Franklin Roosevelt passed Social Security and other New D…

Common Dreams · July 23, 2026
Republicans Panic Trump Has “Zero” Interest in Helping With Midterms

Donald Trump is distancing himself from Capitol Hill at a time when his Congressional allies need him most.The president seemingly does not care that Congress’s long August recess is mere days away, or that the break will force Republicans to head into midter…

The New Republic · July 21, 2026
Highest-ranking woman in House calls for ban on sex with Capitol staff after The Post’s Ruben Gallego exposé

WASHINGTON — The highest-ranking woman in the House of Representatives is calling for a “bright-line rule” prohibiting lawmakers from having sexual relationships with congressional staff after The Post revealed Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) slept with at least…

Freerepublic.com · July 17, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MI-8 · MN-1