VotePredictor
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Michigan District 8 election, 2026

Kristen McDonald Rivet vs. Thomas Smith.

VotePredictor forecast
Kristen McDonald Rivet favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+16.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+1.0
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Thomas Smith

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Jim Casha · Green
  • Kathy Goodwin · Working Class
  • Mia C. Pettus · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-8. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Michigan's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MI-7 · MI-9