Democratic
Kristen McDonald Rivet
Incumbent representative for MI-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Kristen McDonald Rivet favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+4.0
79%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+2.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Thomas Smith
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Jim Casha · Green
- Kathy Goodwin · Working Class
- Mia C. Pettus · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Michigan's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Republicans have already given up on three GOP-held seats – and two other races
National Republicans are pulling out of a handful of House races less than a month before the midterms, abandoning two sitting GOP lawmakers as the party tries to keep its losses from spreading.Super PACs aligned with President Donald Trump and House GOP lead…
Raw Story · October 13, 2026
Democrats unite around Hegseth impeachment push
The News Congressional Democrats aren’t eager to impeach Donald Trump. Pete Hegseth is a different story. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and his leadership circle remain reluctant to lean too far into talking about impeaching the president if they re…
Semafor.com · October 9, 2026
Trump rages at 'Evil Cause' sweeping America — but GOP senator leading the charge anyway
WASHINGTON — The rare 2026 issue that draws huge support from Republicans and Democrats in Congress is the same one that’s mobilized many Americans: restrictions on giant data centers.The House has overwhelmingly passed legislation forcing state regulators to…
Raw Story · September 21, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗