Actual result
D+2.5
Final polls said
EVEN
2 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
R+0.4
✗
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EPIC-MRA | D+5.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+0.4 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 3 | Rossman Group | R+4.3 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 4 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | R+5.0 | 7.5 | ✗ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Lakes Strategies Group | 2010-10-27 | 700 | R+5.0 | 8 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2010-10-16 | 400 | D+5.0 | 2 |
| Rossman Group | 2010-09-13 | 300 | R+4.3 | 7 |