Democratic
Becky Stille
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Nebraska District 3 election, 2026
Becky Stille vs. Adrian Smith. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Adrian Smith favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+46.6
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+54.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Adrian Smith
Incumbent representative for NE-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Mark Cohen · Independent
- David Else · Legal Marijuana Now
- Macey Budke · Working People
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NE-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Adrian SmithREP · incumbent$2.2M raised
Spent $2.1MCash on hand $1.1M0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$62k
- Legal & Professional Services$46k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$37k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$36k
- Retired$23k
States
- NE$202k
- NY$36k
- VA$35k
- DC$26k
- CA$23k
Becky StilleDEM$97k raised
Spent $97kCash on hand −$50Debts $55k25% from donors under $200Self-funded $37k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- STILLE, BECKY$37k
- PEREZ, BELINDA$3k
- HULL, MEGAN$2k
- STERN, RONALD$2k
- ACKLIE, LAURA$1k
Industries
- Unemployed$3k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$2k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$450
States
- NE$7k
- CA$2k
- MD$2k
Mark CohenNON$76k raised
Spent $64kCash on hand $16kDebts $10k26% from donors under $200Self-funded $405
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$13k
- Not Reported$4k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$4k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$500
States
- NE$43k
- CO$4k
- TX$4k
- AK$2k
- OR$2k
Macey BudkeIND$6k raised
Spent $6kCash on hand $32618% from donors under $200Self-funded $3k
Top contributors, industries and states
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NE-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Nebraska's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
WH Council of Economic Advisers Chair Christopher Phelan, Presidential adviser Peter Navarro, FERC Chair Laura Swett, Sens. Rounds and Gallego, Southern Company CEO Chris Womack, Reps. Adrian Smith, Beth Van Duyne, April Delaney, Bill Foster, and Janelle Bynum, ExIm's John Jovanovic and more to headline American Growth Summit tomorrow, Tuesday, September 29 in Washington, D.C.
WASHINGTON, Sept. 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- A powerhouse lineup of leaders from the administration, US Congress, and American business and civil society will speak at a day-long convening on the evolving topography of America's economic interests hosted by Wid…
PRNewswire · September 28, 2026
How the Smithsonian became the latest front in Trump’s culture war
In November 2021, the Smithsonian’s National Museum of American History opened an exhibit called “The Electric Dr. Franklin,” describing “Benjamin Franklin’s pioneering contributions to electrical science.” The exhibit explained that, prior to becoming an abo…
Raw Story · September 24, 2026
Top GOP state election official ‘baffled’ by RNC lawsuit against citizens voting
LINCOLN — Outgoing Nebraska Secretary of State Bob Evnen said he’s baffled by a lawsuit that seeks to eliminate a provision in state law that allows U.S. citizens who’ve never lived in the country to vote in Nebraska elections.Republican National Committee su…
Raw Story · July 6, 2026
APhA and Nebraska Pharmacists Association (NPA) Applaud Rep. Adrian Smith for Advancing Legislation to Improve Seniors' Access to Care
WASHINGTON and LINCOLN, Neb., May 21, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- The American Pharmacists Association (APhA) and the Nebraska Pharmacists Association (NPA) today applauded U.S. Representative Adrian Smith (NE-3) for his leadership in advancing H.R. 3164, the Main S…
PRNewswire · May 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗