Democratic
Tom Suozzi
Incumbent representative for NY-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Suozzi favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+2.7
65%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+0.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Mike LiPetri
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-3. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
‘Capitalist’ Democrats Fear Socialist Wave May Sink Midterms
Representative Tom Suozzi says the DSA’s extreme positions won’t play in his toss-up district, and he’s urging fellow Democrats to push back.
New York Magazine · August 6, 2026
Who Is Funding the Democrats Who Say 'We're Capitalists, Not Socialists'? Probably These Billionaire Capitalists
More than a dozen corporate Democrats last week responded to upstart progressive wins in primaries by pledging their support to a political manifesto called "Promise to America," which emphasizes support for capitalism, law enforcement, and "fiscal discipline…
Common Dreams · July 2, 2026
So-Called 'Moderate' Democrats Must Stop Parroting Trump's Red-Scare Rhetoric
President Donald Trump used red-scare rhetoric to denounce the progressive winners in New York's Democratic primary last week as "godless communists." Rather than explaining that the progressives are not communists in the vein of the Soviet Union or communist…
Common Dreams · July 1, 2026
The Important Missing Word That
Discredits the Centrists’ New Letter
So Democratic Congressman Tom Suozzi of Long Island has come out swinging against the socialists. “We are capitalist, not socialist,” reads a letter that The New York Times reports he and 14 other legislators signed and began circulating last week. This went …
The New Republic · June 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗