Democratic
Tom Suozzi
Incumbent representative for NY-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Suozzi favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+15.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+0.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Mike LiPetri
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New York's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
Dems Want to Regulate AI. But Will AI Money Divide Them?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDems want to regulate AI. But will AI money divide them?Democrats are loudly deman…
The New Republic · September 11, 2026
2026 is THE Social Security Election
The future of Social Security, the government program that touches the lives of more Americans than any other, will be determined by the results of the November elections. Let us explain. The Social Security program faces a funding shortfall. As ABC News repo…
Common Dreams · September 4, 2026
4 House Democrats move to condemn socialism, DSA in resolution
Four House Democrats proposed an amendment Aug. 31 that would formally condemn socialism in all its forms and specifically denounce the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), while removing election-security provisions from a Republican resolution heading to…
Freerepublic.com · September 2, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗