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Toss-up · 2016 House
New York House
In the 2016 New York House race, Thomas Suozzi (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+11.7
Final polls said
D+3.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+7.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | GBAO | D+17.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Clout Research | EVEN | 11.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2016-10-315
Clout Research2016-10-1612
Siena College2016-10-024
GBAO2016-09-205
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New York House race?
Thomas Suozzi (D) won, by about 11.7 points (D+11.7).
When was the 2016 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.