Democratic
Tim Kennedy
Incumbent representative for NY-26. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Tim Kennedy favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+29.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+20.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Dennis Hannon
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-26. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-26; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Top FEMA Official Doubles Down on Claim He Teleported to Waffle House
A Trump administration official continues to insist that he once teleported to a Waffle House despite being mocked. As CNN reported in late March, Phillips has spoken on multiple podcasts about his teleportation activities, which include having gone to a chur…
The New Republic · April 1, 2026
Noem confronts Democrats over NYC crime, asylum abuses as members hurl accusations
Rep. Tim Kennedy confronted DHS Secretary Kristi Noem over $134 million in Urban Area Security Initiative funding cuts for New York City during a heated hearing.
Fox News · December 11, 2025
US accountancy body supports tax fairness for disaster victims act
The American Institute of CPAs (AICPA) has expressed strong support for the Tax Fairness for Disaster Victims Act, introduced by Representative Timothy Kennedy. Known as HR 3975, the legislation aims to provide permanent relief for individuals affected by fed…
Biztoc.com · July 29, 2025
The President meets with U.S. Members of Congress
President Gitanas Nausėda met on Friday with U.S. Congressmen Keith Self, Timothy Kennedy and Derek Tran.
Globalsecurity.org · April 19, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗