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Toss-up · 2018 House
Oklahoma House
In the 2018 Oklahoma House race, Kendra Horn (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.4
Final polls said
R+11.5
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SoonerPoll.com | R+11.5 | 12.9 | ✗ |
| 2 | VCreek/AMG | R+16.0 | 17.4 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.810 | ✗ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.810 | ✗ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 92% | 0.851 | ✗ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 93% | 0.865 | ✗ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 96% | 0.911 | ✗ |
| 6 | The Economist | Rep 98% | 0.964 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SoonerPoll.com2018-10-2913
VCreek/AMG2018-10-1417
VCreek/AMG2018-09-2414
SoonerPoll.com2018-09-2011
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Oklahoma House race?
Kendra Horn (D) won, by about 1.4 points (D+1.4).
When was the 2018 Oklahoma House election held?
It was held in November 2018.