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Toss-up · 2012 House
Oregon House
In the 2012 Oregon House race, Suzanne Bonamici (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.2
Final polls said
D+8.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+11.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Moore Information Group | D+4.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Moore Information Group2012-01-1110
SurveyUSA2011-12-283
Public Policy Polling2011-12-133
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Oregon House race?
Suzanne Bonamici (D) won, by about 14.2 points (D+14.2).
When was the 2012 Oregon House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.