VotePredictor
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Pennsylvania District 10 election, 2026

Janelle Stelson vs. Scott Perry.

VotePredictor forecast
Janelle Stelson favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+0.9
55%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+4.8
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Janelle Stelson

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Isabelle Harman · Independent
  • Steven Long · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-10. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: PA-1 · PA-11