Democratic
Janelle Stelson
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Janelle Stelson favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+0.5
53%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+4.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Scott Perry
Incumbent representative for PA-10. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-10. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Pennsylvania's 10th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Pennsylvania 10: Scott Perry’s rematch brings Pennsylvania’s right flank into play
Pennsylvania’s 10th District is a Republican-held seat in the Harrisburg area and a regular Democratic target. Republican Rep. Scott Perry is facing Democrat Janelle Stelson, a former television news anchor who also challenged Perry in 2024. The district is m…
The Times of India · September 18, 2026
You’ll Never Guess Who’s Saving the Sistine Chapel of the New Deal
Nearly two years after an unnoticed amendment to a water resources bill mandated the sale of the Wilbur J. Cohen Federal Building—a government structure facing the National Mall that contains precious murals by Ben Shahn, Philip Guston, and others, which has …
The New Republic · September 17, 2026
Elon Musk doles out campaign cash in Pa. to Perry, 2 other GOP lawmakers in swing districts
The richest man in the world, who was laser-focused on delivering Pennsylvania for President Donald Trump in 2024, is wielding his wallet in the Keystone State once again to support Republicans in three swing congressional districts ahead of the midterms. Ame…
Freerepublic.com · September 4, 2026
Joe Biden mandated all new vehicles come installed with a 'kill switch.' This Republican wants to repeal it
Rep. Scott Perry, R-Penn., wants to kill the kill switch. A bill Perry is seeking to push through Congress would rescind a provision in former President Joe Biden's Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act that mandates all new cars to come preinstalled with te…
Biztoc.com · July 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗