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Toss-up · 2017 House
South Carolina House
In the 2017 South Carolina House race, Ralph Norman (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.1
Final polls said
R+10.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Change Research | R+9.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | R+10.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | R+13.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Victory Enterprises | R+17.0 | 13.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2017-06-166
Impact Research2017-05-247
Gravis Marketing2017-05-2110
Victory Enterprises2017-05-1714
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2017 South Carolina House race?
Ralph Norman (R) won, by about 3.1 points (R+3.1).
When was the 2017 South Carolina House election held?
It was held in November 2017.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.