VotePredictor
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Utah District 1 election, 2026

Ben McAdams vs. Riley Owen on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Ben McAdams favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+30.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+24.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Ben McAdams

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Riley Owen

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • January Walker · Forward
  • Jesse West · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for UT-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for UT-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-9 · UT-2