VotePredictor
← all House races

Utah District 2 election, 2026

Peter Crosby vs. Blake Moore on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Blake Moore favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+24.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+29.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Peter Crosby

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Blake Moore

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Carlton Bowen · Independent American
  • Daniel Cottam · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for UT-2. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for UT-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: UT-1 · UT-3