← all past elections
Toss-up · 2006 House
Wisconsin House
In the 2006 Wisconsin House race, Steven L. Kagen (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.1
Final polls said
D+3.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mellman Group | D+3.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | EVEN | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | RT Strategies | D+6.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | FM3 Research | D+8.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-254
St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute2006-10-212
RT Strategies2006-10-090
Mellman Group2006-09-161
FM3 Research2006-09-166
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Wisconsin House race?
Steven L. Kagen (D) won, by about 2.1 points (D+2.1).
When was the 2006 Wisconsin House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.