Actual result
D+15.6
Final polls said
D+13.8
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of South Alabama Polling Group | D+16.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Southern Opinion Research | D+8.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Alabama at Birmingham | D+7.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+6.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Opinion Research | 1998-10-30 | 490 | D+8.0 | 8 |
| University of South Alabama Polling Group | 1998-10-28 | 820 | D+16.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-25 | 808 | D+6.0 | 10 |
| Southern Opinion Research | 1998-10-22 | 500 | D+25.0 | 9 |
| University of South Alabama Polling Group | 1998-10-21 | 820 | D+14.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-11 | 807 | D+5.0 | 11 |
| University of Alabama at Birmingham | 1998-10-09 | 401 | D+7.0 | 9 |
| University of South Alabama Polling Group | 1998-10-06 | 400 | D+12.0 | 4 |
| Southern Opinion Research | 1998-10-02 | 501 | D+13.0 | 3 |
| Southern Opinion Research | 1998-09-04 | 500 | D+4.0 | 12 |