Actual result
R+27.5
Final polls said
R+30.5
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+25.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Connecticut | R+37.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Quinnipiac University | R+41.0 | 13.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Forman Center | R+8.0 | 19.5 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-10-30 | 491 | R+41.0 | 14 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-26 | 633 | R+25.0 | 2 |
| Forman Center | 1998-10-22 | 557 | R+8.0 | 19 |
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-10-16 | 683 | R+48.0 | 21 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-11 | 629 | R+32.0 | 5 |
| University of Connecticut | 1998-09-14 | 505 | R+37.0 | 10 |