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Toss-up · 1998 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 1998 Hawaii Governor race, Benjamin Cayetano (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.3
Final polls said
R+10.7
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | R+8.0 | 9.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+9.0 | 10.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-2910
Ward Research1998-10-229
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-1816
Ward Research1998-09-1115
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Hawaii Governor race?
Benjamin Cayetano (D) won, by about 1.3 points (D+1.3).
When was the 1998 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.