Actual result
R+7.9
Final polls said
R+14.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | R+14.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+15.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-28 | 807 | R+15.0 | 7 |
| RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 1998-10-22 | 831 | R+14.0 | 6 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-13 | 828 | R+20.0 | 12 |