VotePredictor
all races

Nebraska Governor

Lynne Walz (D) vs Jim Pillen (R)

Forecast — win probability
Lynne Walz (D)
28%
(R) Jim Pillen
72%
Lean R · model margin R+9.1

Why this forecast

This forecast is poll-driven: 2 polls of the race so far. After weighting them by recency and correcting each pollster's house effect, the model (TabPFN) predicts R+9.1 — a 72% Republican win. With only a poll or two this early, the forecast stays cautious and leans partly on the seat's history.

Forecast over time

The model's win probability for each party, rerun from the polls available on each date. Dashed line = even odds.

0255075100MayJunJul72% R28% D
Democrats 28% Republicans 72%

Latest news

Lynne Walz (D)
Jim Pillen (R)

Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.

Polls (2)

PollsterDatenPoll
Lake Research Partners2026-04-29900R+2.0
Public Policy Polling2026-04-07670R+5.0