Actual result
R+8.8
Final polls said
R+0.5
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fleming & Associates | R+4.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+1.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | KRC Research | D+5.0 | 13.8 | ✗ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 1998-10-26 | 500 | R+1.0 | 8 |
| Fleming & Associates | 1998-10-23 | 400 | R+4.0 | 5 |
| KRC Research | 1998-10-21 | 400 | D+5.0 | 14 |
| KRC Research | 1998-10-18 | 400 | R+2.0 | 7 |
| Fleming & Associates | 1998-10-08 | 400 | R+5.0 | 4 |