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No forecast · 2026 Governor

Rhode Island Governor

There's no live forecast for the 2026 Rhode Island Governor race: every poll on file asks about Dan McKee, who lost the Democratic primary to Helena Foulkes, and nobody has polled the new matchup yet.

Nominee changed — Foulkes beat the governor in the primary

Incumbent Dan McKee lost the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary to Helena Foulkes, who faces Republican Aaron Guckian and independent Ken Block in November. Every poll on file asks about McKee, so the stored number describes a matchup that will never be on a ballot. The forecast returns as soon as a pollster asks about Foulkes. (Cutoff deliberately NOT set yet: the override needs the race in the frame, and the race is only in the frame while it has polls. Add the cutoff and retire this entry once a pollster asks about the new nominee.)

No forecast is published for this race. Helena Foulkes is the Democratic nominee; the forecast returns once a pollster asks about the new matchup.

Dan McKee lost the primary on September 9, 2026. Because this seat has no forecast, it is held out of the Senate-control simulation rather than counted for either party. source

No forecast here — here's where the race is live

This seat is waiting on a poll of its new matchup. These 2026 races have a live forecast:

Latest news

Helena Foulkes (D)
Aaron Guckian (R)

Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.

These polls are of the former matchup against Dan McKee and are kept as a record only — they no longer describe this race.

The polls behind it

3 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMargin
University of New Hampshire2026-08-24D+10.0
Emerson College/WPRI-TV2026-08-22D+19.0
University of New Hampshire2026-06-23D+4.0

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the 2026 Rhode Island Governor race?

Helena Foulkes (D) is the Democratic nominee, against Aaron Guckian (Republican). The polls on file predate the primary: they ask about Dan McKee, who lost it.

Why is there no forecast for the 2026 Rhode Island Governor race?

The polls on file are of a matchup that no longer exists, so publishing a number from them would be misleading. The forecast returns as soon as a pollster surveys Helena Foulkes against Aaron Guckian.

When is the 2026 Rhode Island Governor election?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

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