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Toss-up · 1998 House
Hawaii House
In the 1998 Hawaii House race, Neil Abercrombie (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+25.2
Final polls said
D+14.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+15.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+14.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
Ward Research10-221998-10-2210
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyGrade A-10-181998-10-1811
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Hawaii House race?
Neil Abercrombie (D) won, by about 25.2 points (D+25.2).
When was the 1998 Hawaii House election held?
It was held in November 1998.