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Toss-up · 1998 House
Hawaii House
In the 1998 Hawaii House race, Neil Abercrombie (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+25.2
Final polls said
D+14.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | D+15.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+14.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ward Research1998-10-2210
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-1811
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Hawaii House race?
Neil Abercrombie (D) won, by about 25.2 points (D+25.2).
When was the 1998 Hawaii House election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.