Actual result
D+19.0
Final polls said
R+5.0
2 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Massie & Associates | R+9.0 | 28.0 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massie & Associates | 1998-10-24 | 300 | R+9.0 | 28 |
| Massie & Associates | 1998-10-17 | 300 | R+1.0 | 20 |