Actual result
R+9.3
Final polls said
R+3.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wirthlin Worldwide | R+8.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Valley Research | D+1.0 | 10.3 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wirthlin Worldwide | 1998-10-24 | 303 | R+8.0 | 1 |
| Valley Research | 1998-10-20 | 452 | D+1.0 | 10 |